New low for availability pushes prices higher

Whilst house prices are continuing to rise in Offaly over the first three months of the year, the rate of increase is tapering off.

In Offaly, prices in the first three months of 2024 were 2.8% higher than a year previously, compared to a rise of 5% seen a year ago. The average price of a home is now €250,000, 20% below its Celtic Tiger peak.

Tha's according to the latest Daft.ie House Price Report which also found that nationally housing prices rose by an average of 1.8% in the first three months of 2024,

The typical listed price nationwide in the first quarter of 2024 was €326,469, 5.8% higher than in the same period a year earlier and 30% higher than at the onset of the Covid19 pandemic.

Significant differences in trends across the country persist, with increases in general lower in and close to Dublin. Prices in the capital were 3.2% higher in the first quarter of 2024 than a year previously, while in the rest of Leinster, the increase was 5%. Cork City saw prices rise by 7.3% year-on-year, while Galway city saw an increase of 9.4%. Increases in Waterford and Limerick cities were both just over 10%. Elsewhere, prices in Munster (outside the cities) were 10.9% higher and up 6.7% in Connacht-Ulster in early 2024 compared to a year earlier.

The number of homes available to buy nationwide on March 1 stood at below 10,500. This is down 24% year-on-year and represents a new all-time low for the series which extends back to January 2007.

The number of homes to buy currently is just 40% of the 2019 average. The fall in availability affects all major regions of the country and started in mid-2023, after twelve consecutive months of recovering availability following lockdowns.

"The main factors driving the trends seen over the last few years – and resuming in 2024 – are an overall shortage, together with the impact of the Central Bank rules,” said Ronan Lyons economist at Trinity College Dublin.

Lyons said: “The new low in homes available to buy is driven by the second-hand segment and highlights the very tight conditions in the second-hand market across the country since Covid19. The number of homes being built has risen steadily. But interest rate increases have affected the recovery of the second-hand market. As interest rates peak and then fall, and in particular as sitting homeowners roll of fixed rate mortgages, there should be an improvement in second-hand supply. Nonetheless, availability is well below half the levels seen pre-covid19, meaning it may take years for second-hand supply to recover to normal levels.”